Iran Cuts Oil Exports To France and Britain: Let’s Hope This Isn’t The Build-Up to World War III

Iran Cuts Oil Exports To France and Britain: Let’s Hope This Isn’t The Build-Up to World War III

It’s time we move away from oil dependency or face some serious global consequences. Since we all like living and all…

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Author : Jamila Akil

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The Associated Press is reporting that Iran has halted oil shipments to Britain and France in response to the decision of the European Union in January to impose sanctions on Iran’s crucial fuel exports, a sanction that was not set to begin until July. The EU imposed sanctions on Iran which included a freeze of the country’s central bank assets and an oil embargo. With this most recent move on the part of Iran, the country is making it known that it believes there are EU countries who need to buy Iran’s oil more than Iran needs to sell it to them. The EU’s January decision to impose sanctions on Iran came about as a response to Iran’s refusal to halt their nuclear program. How much longer can the European Union and the Iranian leaders go tit-for-tat ?

Iran declares it wants to develop a functional nuclear program for peaceful, productive purposes, such as the production of electricity. Western nations, including US leaders have long feared that the true purpose of the nuclear program is to develop nuclear weaponry.

Both sides, the West and the Iranians have their points. As sovereign nation, Iran feels that it has the right to develop an energy program to take care of the needs of it’s citizens. Oil is resource that will eventually run out and it may be wise thinking to plan ahead for future without the world’s dependency on the oil that Iran provides. To be sure, it is also possible that Iran wants to develop advanced nuclear weaponry. The US has nuclear weapons and so does Israel, two nations that have long had a tense relationship with Iran. The United States has a responsibility to protect the bodily safety and security and it’s citizens, including protection from the possibility of a nuclear attack by enemy nations; even if Iran does not want to attack the US, there is the possibility that Iran could then sell the arms to terrorist groups that do want to attack the US.

There is still time for the West, which includes the European Union and the United States, and Iran to de-escalate an increasingly tense situation. But time is slowly winding down.

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The Working Home Keeper 1484 pts

Might be a good idea to start stocking up those pantries now in the face of all this uncertainty. I'm not talking about hoarding levels, but buying a few extra of the foods your family eats (as your grocery budget allows) before prices start to increase. I'm also planning a garden for the Spring.

Brenda55 4316 pts moderator

The Working Home Keeper Putting the doom and gloom vibe aside this is just good practice....if you have to room and time to do it that is. I keep a larder and so did my parents. As a hobby we started a "victory garden". It saves on food expenses since you buy in bulk and when things are on sale.

This year I am going to try my hand at canning. I have all of the equipment and bought the canning book from Ball so I am ready to go. I am lucky in that my Mom is available as an adviser since she grew up canning her own food and did it when we were kids.

Because of the amount of traveling hubby and I do we only garden for one season. If we had to we could get in three seasons but that would mean a lot of work to do that but we are set up for it should we want to give it a go.

The Working Home Keeper 1484 pts

Brenda55 I was just canning some jars of grape jelly this afternoon! Canning is a fun and useful hobby for me!

Yes, stockpiling is for more than just gloom and doom. It's also good for bad weather situations, job loss, illness.

Bellatrix79 123 pts

Please don't start WWIII. I haven't gotten my first kiss yet!?!!!!!

Bellatrix79 123 pts

Ruhroh. We need to be dependent on alternative fuels as opposed to foreign oil and whatnot. Thank you for bring the news here.

dani-BBW 367 pts

I don't have anything to add to the conversation other than I really appreciate the diversity of topics presented here at the revamped BB&W. Love your writing Jamila!

Jamila 2819 pts moderator

dani-BBW Thanks Dani, I appreciate that!

josie3144 83 pts

Well...I look at a lot of foreign news...and IRAN..is on all the station...every nation East to West does things that are good/bad for their people...but when you walk around with a I don't give a ish what I say or do attitude...your drawing more attention to you...

Jamila 2819 pts moderator

"But don’t we need U.S. military power in the Persian Gulf to protect vital supplies of oil for the United States? Oil is a valuable commodity, and Persian Gulf countries are heavily dependent on it to earn foreign exchange because they export little else. Oil-producing countries often need to pump and sell the oil as much or more than Western nations need to buy it. Thus, the market will ensure that oil reaches the United States and its Western allies. The triumph of the market over ideology or political turmoil is illustrated by the fact that even the radical Islamic government in Iran sells its oil to the hated West, and oil and other resources make it to market from parts of Africa—for example, from Nigeria—wracked by internal strife." (Geography of Globalization. McGraw-Hill Create p. 95).

I just read that in my geography textbook.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

Jamila

We haven't been buying Iranian oil for a long time. I am no expert, but it seems to me that the market adapts and that there are enough oil buying and oil selling nations that if a particular country doesn't buy from or sell to another specific country, it doesn't affect the market much. As long as they continue producing the same amount and selling the same amount, the total supply on the market remains constant. Any increase in the price of oil is likely due to the oil companies finding a convenient excuse to raise prices.

Jamila 2819 pts moderator

Brice Cameron For countries like the US and China it wont' affect us much, but Iran gets a large portion of it's GDP from certain nations that buy it's oil. Iran doesn't have much else to export--their economy is in ruins; Iran has the high unemployment of the EU, the illiteracy rate of a third world nation, and unlike the more prosperous Western nations they lack the welfare state to take care of their citizens until their economy shakes off its stupor. Iran is incredibly unstable right now. They're kind of like the animal that has been backed into a corner and is now in a fight for it's life. Iran has very little to lose by continuing to escalate their threats; even if they don't get to sell their own, the possibility that they will attempt to build and sell nuclear weapons is very real.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

I agree with you that Iran won't stop selling oil. I was just saying that deciding not to sell to certain countries is just a symbolic move as long as they continue to put their oil on the market. The Iranian goverment needs oil sales to maintain control. Each Iranian receives a certain amount of gas from the goverment. Fareed Zakaria has stated that a country having large oil reserves is bad for democracy. If you look at the countries with the largest oil reserves, they are among the least democratic. When a nations wealth pops out of the ground it is easy to control by a small group who then use the profits to arm themselves as well as buy off whomever they need to to maintain control. When a nations wealth is moslty produced by the populace, that gives them a measure of control over the goverment.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

As far as an Iranian nuclear weapon goes, Nuclear technology is 70 years old. It is no longer cutting edge. It is only a matter of time before every nation that wants the bomb gets it. One of the most backward countries in the world, North Korea, has the bomb. We can't play nucelar wack-a-mole forever trying to keep other countries from obtaining this technology. There has to be a new way of doing things. I don't know what the answer is.

zipporah 241 pts

Oil is at $100 a barrel. I hope it doesnt get to $300 a barrel before the year is through. It will be tons of starving people in the west cause our food is transported. We dont even know how to grow our own gardens anymore

Brenda55 4316 pts moderator

So Iranian oil get sold third party to the same nations they just "cut it" off from. Said nations will just have to pay more for it but they will still get it. The EU knew this would happen when they imposed those sanctions. This move is just theater on Iran's part.

Law Wanxi 3263 pts

Brenda55

Not quite true. A certain large un-named East Asian Nation [中國] is using third-party shell corporations to acquire all the Iranian oil they can, transshipped through other nation's ports.

Brenda55 4316 pts moderator

Law Wanxi Understand. Are they hording it or selling it?

Law Wanxi 3263 pts

Music fans in Israel are begging the government not to start the war until after Madonna's live concert on May 29 of this year.

http://rt.com/art-and-culture/news/netanyahu-war-facebook-madonna-gig-israel-985/

Meanwhile, in US News, some Taiwanese origin guy is trying to make up for his dismal 3.1 GPA at Harvard to his mom and dad by becoming an NBA Star, the Republican circus is still in town and Whitney is still dead.

US News is just as managed as North Korean news; it just has spiffier graphics.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

Law Wanxi

Some comedian, I forget which one, said that a 3.1 GPA is an Asian F. I thought that was funny. So you are not impressed by Linsanity.? I am a Warriors fan, so I expect anyone they trade to do well elswhere and the Warriors to continue to lose in perpetuity.

Bellatrix79 123 pts

Brice CameronLaw Wanxi A 3.1 GPA? The Harvard bumps it up a bit. But I would expect better from someone who got into Harvard.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

Law Wanxi

To your point about the media, I think that the average news consumer is more interested in basketball and entertainment than they are to the goings on in the Middle East. The media is just giving the people what they want. We paid attention for a few years after 9/11, but now we are back to thinking their thousand year old feud doesn't affect our day to day lives. The Iran nuclear issue has been around for at least a decade. Wake us up when the bomb goes off. Until then, wasn't that a nice funeral.

MonnDutch 27 pts

I think this is the time to stop using fossil fuels. As long as this wirld rejects the advances that science is providing us then we are doomed to fight ridulous wars of resources.

Maybe WWIII and then there will be WWIV and it will never stop.

kennaGransberg 141 pts

MonnDutch and what are you proposing that we use?

Law Wanxi 3263 pts

kennaGransbergMonnDutch

Faerie Dust, Pixie Powder and Unicorn poop.

Brenda55 4316 pts moderator

MonnDutch Relax. Not. Gonna Happen.

It will take a while for non fossil sources to come on line so the fossil stuff has to be secured into the, ahem, right hands in order to maintain the current balance of power. That is all that is going on these days.

dasdbobb 301 pts

MonnDutch what advances are you referring to? Lithium batteries have a limited recharge cap, fuel cell technology is still very expensive, Natural gas?, look at all the trouble fracking is causing, corn ethanol? This Causes prices to skyrocket because there is less land for food crops. Coal is still a pollutant, even with afterburners installed, Solar and wind power, cloudy days and no wind blowing, fusion, cold fusion still can’t be done, fission is dangerous because of the waste, matter/antimatter annihilation? waiting for fusion, as we cannot generate sufficient power any other way. So what sciences are you talking about?

Jamila 2819 pts moderator

dasdbobbMonnDutch I think that the government needs to do more to either directly or indirectly invest in technologies that can save the energy generated by clean technologies such as wind and water power.

Nuclear is actually a great source of energy, but it's trying to figure out what to do with the spent nuclear cells that is turning out to be problem. The stuff stays radioactive for like 10,000 years so there is a question of how do we dispose of it or can we figure out a way to make it less reactive/toxic in a shorter amount of time.

Law Wanxi 3263 pts

JamiladasdbobbMonnDutch

You must not say those fission heresy things! Jane Fonda will be displeased. America must never ever use nasty nuclear. Think of the children!!!

Meanwhile, France gets most of its electrical power from nuclear reactors.

dasdbobb 301 pts

law Wanxi Jamila MonnDutch You mean good ol' Hanoi Jane?

torgodog 18 pts

Law WanxiJamiladasdbobbMonnDutch Yes, aging nuclear reactors. There was a couple incidents a few years ago of radioactive material getting into the local water supply.

dasdbobb 301 pts

Jamila MonnDutch True, too true. But now if you all will excuse me, I have to go and use some fossil fuel to cook my greens and hamhocks! (natural gas) LOL

Jamila 2819 pts moderator

MonnDutch The US is working towards energy independence, which many--present company included--consider a good thing. Nations such as Nigeria and Iran that are heavily dependent on their oil revenues need to diversify ASAP. Nigeria's economy is becoming more diversified but in Iran and other countries in the Middle East they are having a much harder time.

FriendsofJay 476 pts

JamilaMonnDutch Here's my take on the situation which is based solely on my personal insights, which unfortunately have a tendency to be right quite often. First we have to understand how muslims in general and Iran in particular feels on this issue. If even one Jew is alive, Iran thinks it's an insult to Allah and all muslims. No one believes Iran wants nuclear power for peaceful uses. As soon as they're certain they can deliver a nuclear bomb to Israel they will. Their feeling is that other muslim countries will side with them. Unless the situation can be contained, war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. Both sides are convinced of this. That is why Israel wants to initiate a pre-empted strike on their nuclean facilities. The U. S has talked them out of it-------so far. We will be dragged into it along with much of the world. Muslims totally believe that all other religions are made up of "infidels" and that they must create a world wide Caliphate. They seem to believe that Allah will save them if push comes to shove. Hopefully my insights this time are dead wrong.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

FriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch

Actually, Sunni Saudi Arabia is as concerned about Shiite Iran obtaining the bomb as Israel is. That would shift the balance of power in the region from Sunni to Shia Islam and intensify the regional arms race. Of course Iran wants the Atomic bomb. It is logical for them to want it. They have aspirations of dominating their region militarily and the bomb furthers those aims and makes any attack on them potentially very costly to the attacker. Whether or not they would attack Israel with the bomb first if they had it, I don't know. But I am sure the Israelis have no intention of finding out

Nonya 127 pts

FriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch

"Muslims totally believe that all other religions are made up of "infidels" and that they must create a world wide Caliphate. They seem to believe that Allah will save them if push comes to shove."

This is a load of bull. About as insightful as me declaring that just like the Westboro church and Jerry Falwell, all Christians totally believe that Teletubbies are gay, Sept 11 attacks were deserved, it is righteous to picket soldiers funerals, desecrate the American flag, etc.

Every religion has a tiny percentage of extremists which everyone realizes do not speak for the rest of the group. Even 'evil' Iran is composed of lots of regular/moderate folk; but unfortunately for them, their extremist minority happens to be in power, thus oppressing them all. Painting the other side with broad brushes does not help in analyzing/searching for solutions to a complex situation.

Grace80 137 pts

NonyaFriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch

Then again there isn't one Muslim majority country that doesn't oppress non Muslim minorities. They like to complain about petty discrimination but don't have the insight to look at themselves and rationalize it by saying its a Muslim country and so and so have no place there. I heard horror stories from my Christian Lebanese best friend. Not to mention all the religious minorities refugees that comes here.

Nonya 127 pts

Grace80FriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch

Another example of broad brushing. There are ~50 Muslim-majority countries in the world. Are you seriously declaring a baseless statement as fact when you have not visited them all, or even read about all of them? An anecdote does not equate to a statistic. Unless researched and documented to show otherwise, your Christian friend's horror stories from one Muslim country does not necessarily represent the experience *all the minorities in that country and it certainly does not translate to fact for all Muslim countries worldwide.

As I acknowledged above, yes oppression exists and it has many legs. In most cases, it is targeted foremost towards what oppressors see as "disobedient" residents period (citizen/not, religious minority/not).

Grace80 137 pts

NonyaFriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch

You do know the Christians are most persecuted group in the world largely thanks to being minorities in many Muslim countries?

I think the CDHRI, is an excellent example of what most thinks about minorities. Equality for Muslims and no one else.. If most are so understanding and moderate, why don't they give them equal rights instead of driving over them with their tanks?

Or is most if not all countries run by extremist.

Don't come and say it's not that bad and that the west treats Muslims worst in their countries, that is the standard reply to any discussion and it's simply not true. You do know there's been a mass excudus of minorities from North Africa and ME, seeing how the Arab spring haven't been that good for Christians and other fokes.

Jamila 2819 pts moderator

Grace80NonyaFriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch "You do know the Christians are most persecuted group in the world largely thanks to being minorities in many Muslim countries?"

I'm glad you pointed that out; I was just about to do so.

A week or two ago Ayaan Hirsi Ali wrote an article that was on the cover of Newsweek magazine documenting the anti-Christian violence that is escalating in Muslim countries all over the world, not just the Middle East. Anti-Christian violence is up something like 600% over the last 10 years.

This is definitely not the work of just a few extremists here and there.

Brice Cameron 443 pts

Saying there are many tolerant Muslims out there is liking saying there are many black men out there who respect black women. That may be true, but it doesn't mean that the culture isn't biased the other way.

SirLoinDeBeef 553 pts

NonyaFriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch I think Kola Boof might want to comment here.

Nonya 127 pts

Grace80FriendsofJayJamilaMonnDutch

Looked up CHDRI. Interesting. Had me wondering how much of it is translated to daily life in the member countries (with the very diverse cultures), eg perspective of Muslims in Nigeria versus those in Indonesia vs those in Saudi Arabia are completely different.

Per most persecuted group: some insist that its Christians, some say it is Jews, some say it depends on geography, some say its chronological (eg pagans during early[?] ages, Native Americans during new world occupation, jews during holocaust, etc), etc. Likewise, It is a fact that Western countries' attitude to Muslims has worsened, but by how much is debatable. So, no, I don't know what the most persecuted grp it is, unless I can see unbiased research showing it is grpX after counting across country/continent worldwide. Simply passing on popular opinion doesn't cut it, neither does documented persecution in Yplace(s) become representative of everywhere.

Nonya 127 pts

Brice Cameron

That's another issue that get twisted. There is no monolithic culture for any faith eg not "Muslim culture" or "Christian culture", just different representations across pre-existing cultural settings. Eg Saudi Arabia's culture of extreme social oppression of its women is camouflaged under religion which has been reinterpreted by its men (surprise). Very different life for equally Muslim women in say, Senegal/Nigeria.

I view religion as 3 different aspects that tend to get muddled alot: faith (ethos/intentions), culture (mix formed in cultural setting), politics (organized forms & govt).

Nonya 127 pts

Brice Cameron

Media amplification may make them seem more, but extremists are by definition vocal minorities. There are also many black men out there who respect black women; debatable on how many of them are to be found within the US AA population though.

FriendsofJay 476 pts

NonyaBrice Cameron When I was a kid in grade school our teacher would tell us about the different religions. She would say, "All the world prays to the same God. We just call him by different names." Wish the world could think like that again. Religion seems to cause more problems than it solves.